PREDICTING THE RESULT of PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

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By : CEO

STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT. Different with several result come from several survey institute which was dominated said 2019 presidential elections will be win by Jokowi over Prabowo, but some recent political progress have been different with ones because some political blunder have been making by Jokowi’s supporters including his ministers.

Prabowo will win at the next presidential elections. There are some reasons. First, people have been refusing “money politics” which done by “Jokowi’s massage carrier” in several regencies and provinces. As we know from TV broadcasting, people had rejected “political gift” which was delivered by Jokowi’s camp campaign team.

Second, Prabowo or Sandi visits in several provinces had attended by thousand or millions people and they were chanted “Prabowo for President”. Eventhough Jokowi’s supporters try to counter it on social media, its just make people’s trust to Prabowo has raised but people’s distrust to Jokowi has downed.

Third, several ministers have been made “blunder statement” such as “teacher who take Rp 750 thousand each month must be patient” which said by Education Ministers. Besides that, Communication and Information minister Rudiantara in several months ago had angry to his staffs which was viraled on #yanggajikamu siapa and one of Jokowi’s senior minister had said Jokowi’s Jum’at prayer was 4 rakaat. Those are political blunder statement has been predicted will make Jokowi’s electability decrease.

Fourth, following and based on political, security and economic progress, there are some strategic matters which happened but uncontrolled by the government such as influx of foreign workers, current account deficit, Papua’s issue over Wenda’s petition and Jokowi’s former mass basis will be changed to Prabowo’s mass basis especially in Central Java, East Java, Banten, Yogyakarta, South Sulawesi, South Sumatera and Lampung. Prabowo will win over Jokowi 62 percent vs 38 percent. Hopefully. Aamiin.

The writer is Cersia CEO


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