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STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT. Vanuatu’s maneuvre had successfully been made the UN intention on Papua’s issues after the small country in South Pasific had been “smuggled” Papua’s prominent figure, Benny Wenda in their delegation to the UN meeting and Wenda had been used those strategic moment to send his petition to the UN. Finally, the UN has been requested to Indonesia, because the UN delegation will come to Papua to check Wenda’s infornation.
Meanwhile, in Papua, Papua Freedom Organization or known as OPM has been launching several sporadic but deadly attacks which was targeted security forces, police and civil servant. Currently, OPM had been declared their preparedness war to Indonesia. OPM has challenged TNI and National Police to make “war” in Papua.
The braveness of OPM to challenge TNI and Police has been shown that probably their combat capacity will raise. BIN or the Military intelligence body/BAIS maybe can give President Jokowi about the seriously issue.
Politically, several ministry in Indonesia had been shame on Benny Wenda’s maneuvre and its could be said as “strategic surprises” based on “the failure of early detection”. President Jokowi must be angry to his staffs who must responsible why Wenda’s maneuvre did not detect earlier. Indonesia must review on Indonesia-Vanuatu diplomatic relationship.
During and prior to April 17, 2019 the next general election, those case can be politicized by Jokowi’s political opponent to make political propaganda about the incompetency of the government to tackle Papua’s issues. Those issues can decrease Jokowi’s electability.
The writer is Cersia CEO.